Fiorentino vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
4 - 1
FIO
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 1
PEN
22%
23%
56%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
COS
2 - 1
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
MUR
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
2 - 3
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FAE
0 - 3
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
5 - 1
FAE
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 2
FAE
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FAE
3 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FAE
1 - 1
TFI
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |