Fiorentino vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 2
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
FIO
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TPE
1 - 1
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 1
COS
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 4
COS
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COS
0 - 0
FOL
14%
23%
63%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
4 - 1
COS
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |