Fiorentino vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DOM
2 - 2
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TFI
4 - 1
FIO
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 3
MUR
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
COS
0 - 1
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TFI
4 - 1
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SGI
0 - 2
COS
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |