Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-4
Fiorentina vs Zbrojovka Brno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
BOL
3 - 2
FIO
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIO
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1965 |
FIO
4 - 1
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
FIO
5 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
36%
26%
39%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
LPL
1 - 0
ZBR
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1965 |
ZBR
2 - 0
LPL
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
ZBR
1 - 0
FTC
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
FTC
2 - 0
ZBR
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1964 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZBR
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |