Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Fiorentina vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
31%
28%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FIO
27%
28%
46%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2000 |
VNZ
0 - 0
FIO
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
FIO
2 - 1
INT
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
FIO
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
UDI
5 - 2
VNZ
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FIO
27%
28%
46%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2000 |
VNZ
0 - 0
FIO
24%
28%
48%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BAR
3 - 0
VNZ
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2000 |
VNZ
2 - 0
LAZ
17%
26%
57%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | +1 |