Fiorentina vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
FIO
5 - 0
MAN
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
FIO
1 - 0
TOR
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
61%
21%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
SPA
1 - 1
VNZ
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
SAM
3 - 1
VNZ
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
VNZ
1 - 2
VIC
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
PAL
2 - 1
VNZ
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
NAP
1 - 0
VNZ
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |