Fiorentina vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
FIO
1 - 1
FCC
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
VER
1 - 2
FIO
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
FIO
0 - 1
TOR
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ACM
0 - 0
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
USF
2 - 0
SAM
46%
29%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
ROM
3 - 1
USF
69%
21%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
USF
2 - 2
NAP
19%
29%
52%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
BOL
0 - 0
USF
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
USF
0 - 1
JUV
17%
25%
58%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |