Fiorentina vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
TAR
0 - 1
FIO
14%
20%
66%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
BAR
0 - 2
FIO
23%
25%
51%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
PAL
1 - 1
FIO
25%
27%
49%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
FIO
0 - 1
BRE
69%
21%
11%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
FIO
4 - 2
ACM
46%
29%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
BAR
1 - 0
USF
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
USF
0 - 1
TAR
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
USF
3 - 1
LIV
62%
25%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
ARZ
0 - 0
USF
33%
30%
37%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
TER
0 - 2
USF
39%
30%
32%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |