Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Fiorentina vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ASS
3 - 2
FIO
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 3
LPO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 1
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 4
FIO
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 1
SPE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UDI
3 - 0
USC
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
USC
1 - 0
EMP
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
USC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
USC
0 - 2
FIO
21%
24%
56%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
USC
1 - 3
ATL
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |