Fiorentina vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
VNZ
3 - 0
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 1
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
1 - 2
MOD
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
JUV
3 - 1
FIO
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 2
LIV
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
USA
0 - 2
VIC
36%
23%
41%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
USA
1 - 1
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
BAR
2 - 2
USA
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 1
USA
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
USA
0 - 1
BOL
28%
25%
48%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |