Fiorentina vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
BAR
0 - 0
FIO
32%
23%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
FIO
2 - 1
PAL
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 0
FIO
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
FIO
1 - 2
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
73%
16%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
USA
1 - 1
BOL
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
TOR
1 - 0
USA
68%
18%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
USA
1 - 0
GEN
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
INT
2 - 1
USA
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
NAP
1 - 0
USA
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |