Fiorentina vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
INT
4 - 1
FIO
51%
22%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 1
VIC
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
BOL
0 - 3
FIO
35%
24%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 0
SAM
70%
17%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
VNZ
0 - 1
FIO
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
UDI
1 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
ACM
4 - 3
UDI
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
UDI
1 - 0
PAD
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
MAN
2 - 0
UDI
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
UDI
1 - 3
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |