Fiorentina vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1961 |
DZG
2 - 1
FIO
46%
23%
31%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
UDI
0 - 0
FIO
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
FIO
1 - 1
TOR
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1961 |
FIO
3 - 0
DZG
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SPA
3 - 2
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 1
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
SPA
0 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 2
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |