Fiorentina vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 0
FIO
35%
24%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
FIO
2 - 2
LAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 0
FIO
59%
20%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1960 |
FIO
2 - 1
INT
73%
16%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1960 |
LAZ
3 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAM
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
PAD
6 - 3
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
USA
0 - 1
SPA
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 0
INT
33%
25%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |