Fiorentina vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
BAR
1 - 2
FIO
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
FIO
1 - 3
ACM
57%
20%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
BOL
0 - 4
FIO
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAD
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
JUV
3 - 2
FIO
57%
21%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 0
SPA
86%
9%
5%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAP
37%
26%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
PAD
2 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
SPA
0 - 1
UDI
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPA
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |