Fiorentina vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 1
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
FIO
0 - 0
LAZ
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
UDI
2 - 5
FIO
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
GEN
3 - 1
FIO
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
FIO
4 - 1
LAZ
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
SPA
0 - 3
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
JUV
2 - 0
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 0
INT
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
SPA
0 - 1
INT
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
GEN
1 - 1
SPA
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |