Fiorentina vs Sampierdarenese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1935 |
FIO
0 - 1
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
TRI
5 - 1
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
FIO
0 - 1
JUV
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1935 |
USA
2 - 0
FIO
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sampierdarenese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
SAM
1 - 2
GEN
55%
20%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1935 |
USA
1 - 1
SAM
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
SAM
2 - 2
NAP
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
SAM
1 - 0
TRI
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAM
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |