Fiorentina vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
FIO
1 - 2
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
BAR
1 - 2
FIO
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
FIO
1 - 3
ACM
57%
20%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
BOL
0 - 4
FIO
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAD
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
SAM
3 - 2
JUV
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
PAD
2 - 1
SAM
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAM
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
SAM
2 - 4
INT
46%
23%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |