Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Fiorentina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LEC
2 - 2
FIO
56%
23%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 1
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 2
UDI
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SIE
1 - 0
FIO
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 1
PAR
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CAG
3 - 0
ROM
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 2
JUV
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 0
ROM
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ROM
3 - 0
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
INT
2 - 0
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |