Fiorentina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
VIC
0 - 1
FIO
42%
30%
29%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASC
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
VAR
1 - 1
FIO
34%
32%
34%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
FIO
2 - 2
TOR
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
NAP
1 - 0
FIO
55%
26%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAG
56%
26%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 0
JUV
23%
28%
49%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
ASC
0 - 0
ROM
35%
32%
33%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |