Fiorentina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
MES
0 - 3
FIO
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
FIO
0 - 1
MAN
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
GEN
2 - 1
FIO
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
VIC
1 - 0
FIO
28%
26%
47%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
FIO
1 - 0
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
ROM
3 - 0
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
BOL
4 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
2 - 0
HER
84%
10%
7%
|
83 | 32 | 51 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
2 - 0
MES
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |