Fiorentina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
GEN
1 - 3
FIO
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
VIC
3 - 0
FIO
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
FIO
2 - 0
UDI
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
BOL
0 - 3
FIO
52%
22%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
FIO
1 - 1
SAM
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
ROM
2 - 1
VER
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
ROM
2 - 1
GEN
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
TOR
0 - 0
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
ROM
3 - 1
PAD
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ATL
0 - 0
ROM
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |