Fiorentina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1947 |
FIO
0 - 4
TOR
29%
23%
47%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
LAZ
3 - 0
FIO
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
FIO
3 - 1
BRE
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
VIC
1 - 0
FIO
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1947 |
ROM
0 - 1
GEN
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
ATL
0 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
MOD
1 - 0
ROM
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
ROM
2 - 1
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
JUV
4 - 0
ROM
82%
12%
7%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |