Fiorentina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
INT
3 - 0
FIO
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
FIO
4 - 0
ACL
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
FIO
3 - 1
VNZ
36%
23%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
JUV
3 - 2
FIO
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 0
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 0
ROM
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
ROM
1 - 0
TRI
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
BAR
0 - 0
ROM
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
INT
3 - 0
ROM
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |