Fiorentina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
73%
16%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
FIO
2 - 0
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
SAM
1 - 0
FIO
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
FIO
3 - 1
ACM
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 0
FIO
64%
19%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
ROM
3 - 0
BAR
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
INT
5 - 1
ROM
69%
17%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
ROM
0 - 0
GEN
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |