Fiorentina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
5 - 1
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
FIO
30%
22%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOL
40%
23%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
NAP
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 4
FIO
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
ROM
1 - 1
PRO
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
BAR
0 - 2
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ROM
3 - 0
PAL
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 2
ROM
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
ROM
3 - 1
LAZ
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |