Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 9-3
Fiorentina vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
MAN
0 - 0
FIO
26%
23%
51%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
FIO
5 - 1
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
PAL
0 - 1
FIO
20%
24%
57%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
CAT
3 - 1
FIO
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
KAP
1 - 1
RAP
21%
21%
58%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
RAP
2 - 0
SAL
91%
7%
3%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
AWM
0 - 4
RAP
30%
22%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
SVA
2 - 5
RAP
37%
23%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 2
SSL
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |