Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 4-4
Fiorentina vs Puskás Akadémia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
FIO
24%
25%
51%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 2
FIO
43%
25%
33%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 7
FIO
13%
22%
66%
|
91 | 48 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
MPL
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
HUL
2 - 2
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Puskás Akadémia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 0
MTK
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
3 - 3
AVA
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
3 - 1
NYI
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 1
PUS
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 1
ZTE
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |