Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Fiorentina vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
UDI
3 - 1
FIO
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 0
LAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
NAP
2 - 0
FIO
27%
29%
44%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
FIO
3 - 1
GEN
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
EVE
2 - 0
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 0
PSV
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
PSV
3 - 0
GRO
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
PSV
0 - 0
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
RJC
1 - 1
PSV
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
PSV
0 - 1
TOT
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |