Fiorentina vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
RIM
0 - 1
FIO
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
FIO
4 - 1
CES
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
FIO
0 - 0
PIS
76%
15%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIO
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
PRG
1 - 1
TOR
39%
32%
29%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
FCC
1 - 0
PRG
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
LEC
1 - 1
PRG
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
PRG
1 - 0
BAR
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
CAG
1 - 2
PRG
51%
27%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |