Fiorentina vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 0
FIO
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
SAM
2 - 2
FIO
40%
29%
32%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
FIO
1 - 3
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
USF
2 - 3
FIO
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
FIO
1 - 2
GEN
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
PRG
1 - 1
JUV
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
PRG
3 - 0
ROM
49%
29%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
PRG
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 1
PRG
43%
30%
28%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
PRG
1 - 1
VER
54%
27%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |