Fiorentina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 2
ROM
26%
23%
51%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
UDI
1 - 0
FIO
32%
27%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 0
SPE
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 1
FIO
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 2
INT
21%
24%
56%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
INT
10%
20%
70%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 2
PAR
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 2
UDI
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
VER
2 - 1
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 3
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |