Fiorentina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 2
SEV
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
EMP
2 - 3
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
SEV
3 - 0
FIO
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 1
CES
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
NAP
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 0
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EMP
2 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |