Fiorentina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
SAM
3 - 0
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
FIO
1 - 2
PAL
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 0
FIO
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 0
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
FIO
1 - 2
ROM
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 2
INT
24%
25%
52%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
UDI
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MES
1 - 0
PAR
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 1
LEC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |