Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-0
Fiorentina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
VNZ
0 - 1
FIO
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
FIO
1 - 0
VNZ
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1990 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
38%
27%
36%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1990 |
JUV
3 - 1
FIO
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
FIO
4 - 1
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
PIS
2 - 2
PAR
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
PAR
2 - 0
REG
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
44%
29%
28%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
PAR
5 - 3
USF
55%
27%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
LIC
0 - 3
PAR
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |