Fiorentina vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
LAZ
1 - 1
FIO
65%
19%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
GEN
3 - 0
FIO
77%
14%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
FIO
1 - 1
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
TOR
2 - 1
FIO
71%
17%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
NOV
0 - 1
TOR
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
MOD
4 - 1
NOV
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 1
TRI
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
NOV
86%
9%
5%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |