Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 3
FIO
26%
27%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 1
ROM
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VER
3 - 5
FIO
29%
28%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
UDI
60%
22%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 0
FIO
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
INT
0 - 0
NAP
39%
25%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 1
NAP
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAP
4 - 2
LAZ
66%
20%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
NAP
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 0
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |