Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
62%
22%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 2
LEC
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SAM
0 - 1
FIO
44%
27%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
FIO
0 - 1
TOR
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
NAP
0 - 3
ROM
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
NAP
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAP
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NAP
3 - 0
LEC
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |