Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
12.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ASC
3 - 2
FIO
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
FIO
3 - 1
COM
80%
15%
6%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
20%
28%
53%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
PES
0 - 2
FIO
18%
27%
55%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
NAP
1 - 2
UDI
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
NAP
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 0
NAP
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
NAP
0 - 0
VAR
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
NUO
0 - 2
NAP
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |