Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
FIO
2 - 2
ACM
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
SAM
3 - 3
FIO
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
FIO
2 - 2
VER
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CAG
2 - 1
FIO
35%
29%
36%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
NAP
2 - 1
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
ACM
0 - 2
NAP
63%
22%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
SAM
2 - 1
NAP
30%
30%
40%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
NAP
4 - 0
PRG
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |