Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
NOV
0 - 0
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 1
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
INT
2 - 1
FIO
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
FIO
3 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
NAP
1 - 0
TRI
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
LAZ
0 - 4
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SPA
1 - 1
NAP
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |