Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
SAM
1 - 0
FIO
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
FIO
3 - 1
ACM
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 0
FIO
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
FIO
3 - 1
TRI
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
FIO
2 - 1
LAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 1
NAP
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 0
NAP
28%
23%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
NAP
4 - 2
SAM
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |