Fiorentina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
PES
1 - 0
FIO
27%
30%
44%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
FIO
0 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
FIO
3 - 1
FIA
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
PIS
0 - 0
FIO
24%
30%
47%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAD
73%
19%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
VER
0 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
38%
31%
31%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
RAV
2 - 2
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |