Fiorentina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
11.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1932 |
FIO
0 - 1
USA
68%
18%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
LEO
1 - 0
FIO
26%
22%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
FIO
4 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
PRO
0 - 3
FIO
22%
21%
57%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
FIO
3 - 0
INT
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1932 |
MOD
0 - 1
JUV
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
CAS
4 - 0
MOD
46%
22%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 2
NAP
30%
21%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
BOL
4 - 0
MOD
78%
13%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |