Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
55%
22%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
CAG
0 - 1
FIO
28%
24%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 2
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ACM
0 - 2
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VER
3 - 0
ACM
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
ACM
3 - 0
VER
68%
20%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ACM
2 - 1
BOL
70%
20%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |