Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
48%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
USF
3 - 3
FIO
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
GEN
3 - 2
FIO
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
31%
29%
40%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 1
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
NAP
1 - 0
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1992 |
ACM
2 - 0
TOR
71%
20%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
59%
24%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
CAG
1 - 4
ACM
13%
27%
60%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
ACM
4 - 1
ASC
80%
15%
5%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
ACM
3 - 1
USF
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |