Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
26%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
FIO
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
ROM
0 - 1
FIO
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
INT
3 - 0
FIO
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
52%
28%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
FIO
1 - 0
CEL
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
ACM
3 - 0
TOR
66%
22%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
JUV
3 - 0
ACM
49%
28%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
ACM
0 - 0
SAM
75%
17%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
35%
30%
35%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
51%
25%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |