Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
BOL
3 - 1
FIO
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ATL
2 - 1
FIO
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ACM
2 - 5
INT
51%
24%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
ACM
3 - 0
SAM
77%
15%
9%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ACM
2 - 0
MES
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
14%
22%
64%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |