Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
BAR
2 - 0
FIO
21%
26%
53%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
FIO
0 - 0
MOD
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
64%
19%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
CAT
2 - 0
FIO
24%
26%
51%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 3
INT
42%
26%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
SPA
2 - 4
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 0
BAR
85%
11%
5%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
64%
19%
16%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ROM
2 - 3
ACM
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAM
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |