Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
VIC
3 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
TRI
3 - 0
FIO
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 0
ROM
60%
21%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 2
GEN
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
JUV
5 - 2
FIO
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
GEN
4 - 2
ACM
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
ACM
2 - 0
JUV
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ACM
1 - 1
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
INT
3 - 1
ACM
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |